Spatial Intelligence · Real Estate · Regional Risk

Eric Vaz

Real estate analytics · Market geography · Regional risk · Applied machine learning

I am a spatial scientist working on the questions investors, operators, and policymakers ask of place — where to build, where to lend, where to enter a market, and where the next risk is concentrating. Two decades of academic research on spatial data and machine learning, applied to the decisions that move capital across cities and regions.

Position Full Professor, Toronto Metropolitan University
Based Toronto, Canada
Profiles Google Scholar  ·  LinkedIn
Toronto · 2026
Portrait of Eric Vaz
NoteGeography is motion.
01 / About

Reading the structure of place, capital, and risk.

Geography, properly practiced, is not description. It is a discipline for reading how people, capital, and risk arrange themselves across space — and what those arrangements tell us about which decisions will hold and which will break. My work treats spatial data as decision infrastructure: for the investor weighing a market, the lender pricing a portfolio, the operator choosing a site, and the policymaker allocating against constraint.

I am a Full Professor in the Department of Geography and Environmental Studies at Toronto Metropolitan University, where I directed the Laboratory for Geocomputation and served as Graduate Program Director for the Master of Spatial Analysis. Before Toronto, I led the GIScience Research Group at Heidelberg University, and earlier held positions at the University of the Algarve and NOVA University of Lisbon, where I earned my doctorate in Information Management.

Across two decades I have written seven Springer monographs and more than ninety peer-reviewed articles spanning real estate valuation, market and retail geography, regional risk, and applied spatial machine learning. I currently serve on the editorial boards of Humanities & Social Sciences Communications (Springer Nature), Habitat International (Elsevier), REGION, and Data, and was Editor-in-Chief of the Canadian Journal of Regional Science.

In 2012 I was named a Rising Star by the Regional Science Association International. In 2023 I was ranked among the top scholars globally in the field of Human Habitat by ScholarGPS. My work has been highlighted by NASA Earth Observatory and Elsevier. From 2018 to 2021 I served as President of the Canadian Regional Science Association.

I move regularly between scholarship and practice. Alongside research and graduate teaching, I deliver invited lectures on GeoAI and regional intelligence, advise on the design of spatial data products, and translate academic methods — hedonic models, spatial machine learning, satellite-derived indicators — into tools that institutions can act on.

02 / Research Themes

Eight currents of ongoing inquiry.

My work moves across several connected domains, but it traces a single question: how does space structure the problems that decision-makers face — in real estate, finance, infrastructure, public health, and policy — and what can spatial computation tell us that intuition or non-spatial models cannot?

I.

Real Estate & Market Geography

Hedonic valuation, geodemographics, retail and investor location, wealth distribution, and the spatial logics of property and consumer markets. The geography of where capital chooses to land.

II.

Regional Intelligence & Risk

A framework developed across several monographs: how spatial evidence informs regional and urban decisions under uncertainty — investment risk, infrastructure exposure, and the limits of traditional models in the Anthropocene.

III.

GeoAI & Computational Geography

Spatial machine learning, cellular automata, spatial econometrics, and quantum methods in spatial analysis — the methodological toolkit that lets data of place speak to questions of value, risk, and growth.

IV.

Urban & Regional Systems

Land-use change, urban sprawl, metropolitan dynamics, and the role of small and medium towns in the geography of peripheral regions. Where regions move, why, and what that means for those exposed to the move.

V.

Spatial Epidemiology & Health

Injury landscapes, access to care, and the spatial structure of well-being and pathology in cities — work that increasingly speaks to insurers, urban operators, and population-health planners.

VI.

Environmental & Climate Risk

Wetland and habitat change, coastal erosion, and the climate forces reshaping the physical landscape — read as inputs to asset risk, insurability, and the changing geography of liveable place.

VII.

Heritage & Cultural Landscapes

Urban pressure on heritage sites, archaeological geography, and the cultural assets that anchor regional identity — and tourism economies — under conditions of rapid change.

VIII.

Subjective Geography

The spatial structure of subjective well-being. Where people report feeling happy, what those geographies reveal about the places we build, and what they imply for the markets that serve them.

03 / Books

Seven monographs on space, region, and change.

Seven volumes on space, region, and change — spanning peripheral Europe, metropolitan Canada, regional intelligence, the geography of happiness, and the territorial logic of knowledge economies.

In Press Regional and Urban Change and Geographical Information Systems and Science — An Analysis of Northern Canada
2026 Springer

Regional & Urban Change and GIScience — Northern Canada

Nordicity, spatial intelligence, and Indigenous development trajectories across the Canadian North.

Regional Knowledge Economies — Exploring the Intersection of Technology, Geography, and Innovation in the Digital Era
2024 Springer

Regional Knowledge Economies

How knowledge economies concentrate, diffuse, and reorganize the territorial logic of innovation.

Regional and Urban Change and Geographical Information Systems and Science — An Analysis of Ontario, Canada
2023 Springer

Regional & Urban Change and GIScience — Ontario, Canada

A comprehensive spatial diagnosis of Ontario's regional trajectories across four decades.

Edited Geography of Happiness — A Spatial Analysis of Subjective Well-Being
2023 Springer

Geography of Happiness

Machine learning applied to geotagged social data to map where and why people report happiness.

Sustainable Development in Southern Europe — Spatial Analysis of Regional Challenges
2020 Springer · With Noronha

Sustainable Development in Southern Europe

The geography of sustainability and peripherality across the southern European landscape.

Edited Regional Intelligence — Spatial Analysis and Anthropogenic Regional Challenges in the Digital Age
2020 Springer

Regional Intelligence

The original statement of a framework for understanding regional dynamics under computational abundance.

Edited Resilience and Regional Dynamics — An International Approach to a New Research Agenda
2018 Springer · With Pinto & Noronha

Resilience & Regional Dynamics

A multi-author volume on the geography of regional resilience.

04 / Applied Practice

Where research meets decisions that move capital.

Two decades of academic methods are most useful when they shape decisions outside the academy. Alongside scholarship, I work — in personal capacity, distinct from my university role — at the boundary where spatial analysis informs how institutions value, locate, and de-risk their footprint in cities and regions.

— 01

Real Estate & Valuation Intelligence

Hedonic and machine-learning approaches to residential and commercial valuation; neighbourhood scoring; geodemographic segmentation for portfolio and brokerage applications.

  • Investor & brokerage analytics
  • Market-entry feasibility
  • Submarket and asset-class scoring
— 02

Regional Risk & Spatial Diligence

Climate exposure, flood and canopy indicators from satellite imagery, demographic trajectories, and infrastructure stress — translated for institutional investors, insurers, and public agencies.

  • Climate & ESG-relevant covariates
  • Emerging-market location intelligence
  • Spatial risk scoring at neighbourhood scale
— 03

Advisory & Speaking

Independent advisory on the design of spatial data products, GeoAI integration, and the methodological backbone of regional intelligence platforms. Keynotes and executive sessions on the same.

  • Methodological & product advisory
  • Executive education on GeoAI
  • Keynote & roundtable engagements
Featured Venture · Personal Capacity

TerraSignal — regional intelligence as a product.

TerraSignal is a real estate and regional intelligence platform I co-founded to translate two decades of spatial research into reports and dashboards that buyers, investors, and brokers can act on. It pairs hedonic-style valuation with satellite-derived environmental indicators and neighbourhood-scale machine learning, and is currently live across Windsor-Essex (Canada) and Lagos (Nigeria), with international expansion underway.

28districts mapped in Windsor-Essex
live B2C reports via Stripe
15neighbourhoods, Lagos beta
diaspora investor focus
3tiers of subscription
solo · team · brokerage
Visit terrasignal.ca →
Disclosure Applied work, advisory mandates, and TerraSignal are undertaken in personal capacity and are independent of Toronto Metropolitan University. The University is identified for biographical reference only and does not endorse, sponsor, or assume any responsibility for these activities. All engagements are conducted in compliance with applicable institutional policy on outside professional activity and conflict of interest.
05 / Recognition

Editorial service, honours, and scholarly standing.

Honours & Leadership

  • 2023Highly Ranked Scholar in Human Habitat (#18)ScholarGPS global ranking
  • 2021Dean's Scholarly, Research & Creative Activity AwardFaculty of Arts, Toronto Metropolitan University — Tenured
  • 2020Elsevier Highlighted Articles  ·  NASA Earth Observatory Report
  • 2018–21President, Canadian Regional Science Association
  • 2018NASA Earth Observatory Research Highlight
  • 2015Dean's SRC Award, Faculty of ArtsToronto Metropolitan University — Tenure-Track
  • 2013–25Director, Laboratory for GeocomputationDepartment of Geography & Environmental Studies, TMU
  • 2015–18Vice President for Research, CIEOResearch Centre for Spatial & Organizational Dynamics, University of the Algarve
  • 2012, 2013Best Researcher AwardResearch Centre for Spatial & Organizational Dynamics (Portugal)
  • 2012Rising Star AwardRegional Science Association International
  • 2010Best Paper, World Science Engineering AssociationSelected for ESA Advanced Training, European Space Agency

Editorial & Scientific Service

  • 2025–Editorial Board, Humanities & Social Sciences CommunicationsSpringer Nature
  • 2019–20Editor-in-Chief, Canadian Journal of Regional Science
  • 2015–18Associate Editor, Habitat InternationalElsevier
  • 2017–Editorial Board, REGIONEuropean Regional Science Association
  • 2014–Editorial Board, Habitat InternationalElsevier
  • 2015–Editorial Board, DataMDPI
  • 2018–Member, Research Unit for Monitoring of Public PoliciesUniversity of Évora, Portugal
  • 2016–18Scientific Committee, Mediterranean Knowledge International Centre
  • 2024Expert, International Science Council
  • 2024Reviewer, NSERCNatural Sciences & Engineering Research Council of Canada
  • 2019Reviewer, NWONetherlands Organisation for Scientific Research — Earth & Life Sciences
  • 2016Reviewer, DAADGerman Academic Exchange Service
06 / Other Writing

Fiction, & the geographies of feeling.

Alongside academic writing, I write short fiction. The pieces tend to circle the same questions as the research — place, memory, the strange attachments people form to small geographies — but follow them through people rather than through data. A small selection appears below.

Flash Fiction North

Finger

Flash fiction.
Published in Flash Fiction North, 2025.

There is this strange lingering sensation on the tip of my finger. This finger has pointed all its life in the right direction. Sometimes, wrong directions, too. Most of all, this finger, which now nudges toward a corner made of plastic, pointed my two daughters toward the constellations. "See Aries rising slowly northwest of that tree, right over there." Her eager smile juxtaposed with a yawn at 10 pm. The other rascal runs back through the cabin. Well, that very finger, stretching towards something that feels like a button, no less, once held a lock of hair with my wife's smile open and shining brightly over an Aegean sunset. In winter, it cleaned the frozen bits off my old Suzuki Samurai, anno 1987, second hand, when my house was the size of a washroom.

I wish my finger hadn't aged with blemishes, some of them caught by surprise, with a reverie of the unknown. With a cadence of blame and a tainting of time. I've often cut my nails and cleaned the corners of that finger with my grandfather's pocketknife. Now, it resides quietly next to me, encumbered by no movement. This finger dug potatoes in spring and scraped the corners of too many pages of things useless to memorize in college. It followed the minuscule handwriting of my advisor's notes hastily, with red curvilinear ink, only to celebrate my dissertation's defence three years later.

Time has surprised me, and so has my finger in its ruggedness, marking the passage of things beyond my wildest imagination when I was caught up in a tenure-track position and finally became tenured. This finger pointed nonchalantly and half-tipsy at my best friend and colleague during twenty Christmas parties, and with some hesitation, wrote notes on the sexiest beast I could muster sitting next to me in LaGuardia — flight of several hours, direction unknown, who cared.

It did a fairly good job of not being totally butchered by an electric saw while cutting a Christmas tree in the sticks, and it mustered its way out of a shady accident, which I swear wasn't my fault. As I look at it resting on this very red button tied to the rim of the bed, I can't help but wonder how lucky of a bastard my index finger has been. Its nail, as usual, cleverly cut. As days go softly here with a hospital gown and someone trims it just right for me, I can't help but wonder, in the last days of yearning freedom and the upset stomach that bewilders my hands, will I be so lucky as having it point towards the sun when I am gone? For now, it serves to call the nurse as I, as well as the finger, do go too gentle into that good night.

Flash Fiction North

Salam in the Garage

Flash fiction.
Published in Flash Fiction North, July 2025.

It was 5:08 p.m. when I pulled in. Tavira Plaza's underground garage yawned cool and shadowed, echoing with the low boom of bass. Portuguese summer. A Peugeot — dented, silver, tired — sat idling across two spots. Its windows were open. Inside, three young men. South Asian, maybe Pakistani. Loud Arabic trap throbbed from a speaker duct-taped to the dash. Tires dirty, hood clean. One of them leaned out the window, flicking ash from a cigarette. The other laughed too loud at something on a phone.

And I — I was supposed to just walk past. Like everyone else, the groceries done. My newspaper resting between my arm, just coincidental of its own space of being very much Portuguese. Proper Lisbon sway, eclectic gaze, espresso and Tom Ford — Grey Vetiver. Sapatos de vela. But I didn't. I slowed my step. A half-second of fear, not for safety, but for being misunderstood. My autism does go beyond the facade of intentions. The unmasking. I could still turn around. Just get my coffee and go home. Be a man of silence. Dream mitigation. But my soul tugged forward. My body shrugged. I stepped into the wave of music and raised my hand lightly to my chest.

"Salam alaikum," I said. Not performative. Not exaggerated. Just honest. I was unmasked. "I read the Qur'an. I'm not Muslim… but I found peace in it."

The music didn't stop — but the world did. It left an empty space. The boy in the passenger seat blinked. His smirk collapsed into something soft. The one smoking straightened in his seat, like someone remembering their own name. The driver nodded — once, slow. The space became the warmth of sand dunes.

"Wa alaikum salam, senhor," he replied, in Portuguese-accented Arabic. "That… that means a lot." Broken English.

I smiled. I wasn't there to convert or praise or correct. I was just one proud Canadian-Portuguese man speaking to another man in exile. Caught between the providence of Tim Hortons and the scent of summer. "Shukran," I added.

The driver turned down the music. Not off. Just… lower. And for a moment — beneath the concrete and dust, under the weight of difference — two worlds that touch.

I walked on. Espresso and Pedras Salgadas still to be had. Groceries still to buy. But the air behind me now buzzed not with trap beats, but with something older. Something holy. Back in my car, Paulo Gonzo sings "É nas pedras da calçada que a canção nos sai melhor." Bismillah to the good people of love.

White Wall Review

A Grave and a Pebble

Short fiction.
Published in White Wall Review, January 2025.

Whenever I ventured north from Keswick, past Craigmawr Beach, I felt the cool breeze from Cook's Bay urge me onward. The ethereal quality of Lake Simcoe seemed to wash over me and soften the edges of my memories. Near the boundary of Georgina Island, I always found myself drawn to a solitary grave. As I recalled from my younger days, the grave had sat in a meadow facing the lake's southern expanse for centuries, nameless and unmarked. Its headstone bore faint carvings, with only a few letters still visible — an "E" in the first name and a "W" and "T" in the last. The snow and rain had worn away most of the inscription, leaving the rest of the name lost to time, and no colour remained to bring clarity to the weathered stone.

Moss had formed a green path leading eastward from the grave, inviting the curious to explore. About thirty years ago, another grave appeared beside it — a woman was laid to rest there, yet she remained as nameless as her eternal neighbour.

Without a sense of foreboding, the neighbours had always viewed her behaviour as rather sullen. Each evening, she would stand overlooking the bay, beyond the picket fence that separated the hill from where the sky met the sea. Her lips moved in a murmur, sounding more like a prayer than anything else. Her expression — somewhere between devotion and eagerness — was enigmatic as she held a weathered stone between her fingers, chanting words that hinted at Gaelic origins…

07 / Voices

Reflections from peers and collaborators.

08 / Publications Dashboard

A quantitative portrait of two decades of scholarship.

Peer-Reviewed Articles
7
Monographs & Edited Volumes
Years of Active Publication
Peak-Year Output
Articles per year · 2008–2024
Hover bars for counts
Top venues
    By theme
      Complete publication list
      Showing of publications
      Page 1 / 1
      09 / Invited Lectures

      Recent invited addresses.

      Recent
      • 2025
        Keynote · XIX International Conference on Overarching Issues in the European Area
        University of Porto, Portugal
      • 2025
        Quantum, Machines and Intelligence — Beyond Conventional Computation
        STEP Seminar Series, Truman State University
      • 2025
        GeoAI and Spatial Analysis
        Masters of Spatial Analysis Seminar Series
      • 2025
        AI: A 360 Perspective in Research
        Violet Cuffy Lecture Series — Caribbean Tourism Researchers Network
      • 2024
        Quantifying Happiness: AI, Machine Learning & Geospatial Analytics
        HERE Technologies
      Earlier selections
      • 2023
        Opportunities for Terraforming Mars
        Inaugural Speaker, Digital Scholarship Series — University of Alberta
      • 2021
        Le Corbusier's Nightmare: The Rise of Small Towns
        Department of Geography and Environment, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa
      • 2021
        Beyond the Horizon of Time: Urban Pressure on Heritage Landscapes
        RIT Gosnell Lecture Series, Rochester Institute of Technology
      • 2016
        Happiness Geography in the Rural World
        Public Policy Monitoring Unit, University of Évora
      • 2012
        Rising Star 3: From Ancient Landscapes to Future Cities
        9th World Congress of Regional Science Association International
      10 / Contact

      For correspondence and collaboration.

      Jorgenson Hall · JOR-620
      Department of Geography & Environmental Studies
      380 Victoria Street · Toronto, ON · M5B 2K3
      43.65891° N  ·  79.38083° W

      I welcome notes from scholars, students, journalists, and institutions on matters connected to my research, my published work, and selectively, advisory engagements undertaken in personal capacity. I read everything that comes through, and reply to what I can.